California’s Cap-and-Invest and Low Carbon Fuel Standard added about 47 cents a gallon in July (CEC). Washington’s carbon auction and clean-fuel rules add roughly 36–74 cents. The federal RFS is a separate 1-to-45-cent fight over gross credits versus net pump pass-through. We map the published estimates, keep taxes and refinery closures in their own buckets, […]
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A diesel export ban is the kind of policy that polls well and trades poorly. With the AAA national average at about $6.53 a gallon as of September 22, 2026 — a record — and California well above $8, the political impulse is obvious: keep more barrels at home. That impulse misunderstands how U.S. refining […]
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Crude is still moving out of the U.S. Gulf Coast, but the bottleneck is no longer just barrels of oil. It is the world’s ability to turn those barrels into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel—and to deliver the finished products where they are needed. Labor Day weekend is supposed to mark the seasonal turn lower […]
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